08 अप्रैल 2013
Export of govt wheat remains unviable at current rate: USDA
New Delhi, Apr 8. Amid relative slowdown in demand,
the export of government wheat will remain unviable unless the
mandated floor price is brought down, a latest report of the
USDA said.
Last month, the Centre had allowed export of additional 5
million tonne wheat (of 2011-12 crop) from its godowns via
private trade to ease storage burden. The export allocation
was to be done via bidding process with floor price set at USD
274 per tonne (Rs 14,800) plus 12.5 per cent state taxes.
"The government approval of exports of an additional 5
million tonnes via private trade appears unviable unless the
mandated floor price is reduced, which would increase the
implied export subsidy," the US Department of Agriculture
(USDA) said in its grain report.
Besides, Food Corporation of India (FCI)'s requirement of
100-percent advance payment for the consignment, even before
wheat is lifted from the warehouse, is likely to be another
major disincentive for the private trade to source the FCI
wheat for exports, it said.
Given the historically unprecedented pressure of massive
grain stocks and lack of sufficient storage space, the USDA
emphasised that "the government will have to explore measures
for improving the viability of exports of government wheat".
Market sources, however, report the government may
contemplate open auction of FCI wheat at lower floor prices
without end-user conditions such as the auctioned wheat could
be bought either by local millers or exporters.
At the current floor price, the total cost of government
wheat for private trade is estimated at Rs 17,600 (USD 326)
per tonne after accounting for the cost of moving the wheat
from the warehouse to seaport and unloading and FOB (freight
on Board) charges, the USDA explained.
"Trade sources report that the government’s floor price
for old crop wheat is too high to be viable for exports due to
weak international prices and expected availability of new
crop wheat at lower prices," the report noted.
Given the record crop, the new wheat is expected to be
available in Uttar Pradesh at around Rs 14,800-15,700 (USD
274-291) per tonne at FOB seaport. Also,the new crop is likely
to be better than the year-old government-held wheat, it said.
The government has already allowed exports of 4.5 million
tonne wheat through public trading agencies. But wheat
exported via PSUs is currently selling much lower, around USD
305 per tonne delivery in the current month, it said.
The report also warned that expected foodgrains stocks of
90 million tonne by June 1 on higher procurement would pose
an unprecedented storage crisis for the government. The
current storage is estimated at around 71 million tonne.
Wheat production is expected to surpass last year's
record of 93.90 million tonne in 2012-13 crop year (July-
June)
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