31 मई 2013
Gold may cheaper by Rs 2,000 in medium term: Report
New Delhi, May 31. Gold prices may fall by Rs 2,000
from the present levels in the near to medium term as the
precious metal is losing appeal as an asset, a report by
industry body Assocham has said.
The report, however, said that gold is unlikely to fall
below Rs 25,000 per 10 grams due to a strong buying support at
that level and a weak rupee against the US dollar.
Gold prices have come down to Rs 27,790 per 10 grams in
the national capital this month from the high of Rs 32,990 per
10 grams in April.
"A fall of Rs 2,000 or little more from the present level
looks plausible in the near to medium term," according to
Assocham report on gold.
A likely drop in gold prices below Rs 25,000 per ten
grams level will attract a strong buying support and may lead
to April-like situation, when the downward spiral had made
buyers rush to jewellers and banks for enriching their bullion
collection, it said.
The Assocham paper contended that gold prices are
unlikely to fall below Rs 25,000 per ten grams for another
reason, that is, continuous weakening of rupee against dollar.
"Expensive dollar will push the gold prices in India
even as they may decline in the international market. The
country meets almost all its gold requirements through imports
which will again become expensive as the rupee is likely to
see more pressure in the coming days," it added.
The report titled ‘Will Gold Retain its Lustre in 2013?’
found that the main reasons for a runaway rise in gold prices
in India was lack of investment avenues for the Indian middle
and upper middle class.
This is more so in the wake of inflation hovering around
the double digit figure and investors were finding it
difficult to save funds from the general price rise, it said.
On the other hand, the report said that most other
avenues like property were out of the reach for the middle
class investors and the equity market was dull. In this
context, the gold units had come in handy.
It found that the newly announced inflation indexed bonds
will not fit the bill since the instruments have a long
maturity period while the secondary bond market in the country
has not developed for the retail investors.
India, the world's largest gold consumer, is expected to
import around 900 tonnes in 2013.
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